The first is Anthony Montgomery. He had a reputation as an underachiever his first couple of years, and frankly I didn’t see significant improvement in ’08. Among people who follow the team closely he is still considered to have potential, but I just haven’t seen it. It’s certainly possible I’ve underestimated him, but given that he is in his contract year this is his last chance to make an impression (Golston is also in his contract year, so only one of them, at most, will be staying with the team. Care to guess who I’m rooting for?).
Thursday, July 30, 2009
Position Overview: Defensive Line
The first is Anthony Montgomery. He had a reputation as an underachiever his first couple of years, and frankly I didn’t see significant improvement in ’08. Among people who follow the team closely he is still considered to have potential, but I just haven’t seen it. It’s certainly possible I’ve underestimated him, but given that he is in his contract year this is his last chance to make an impression (Golston is also in his contract year, so only one of them, at most, will be staying with the team. Care to guess who I’m rooting for?).
Wednesday, July 29, 2009
One more Campbell post
Games: 16
Completion %: 62.3
Yards per Game: 202.8
Touchdowns: 13
Interceptions: 6
QB Rating: 84.3
Matt Hasselbeck's first season in Mike Holmgren's (Zorn's mentor) West Coast offense with Zorn as the QB coach:
Games: 13
Completion %: 54.8
Yards per Game: 155.6
Touchdowns: 7
Interceptions: 8
QB Rating: 70.9
In case you're not aware, Hasselbeck turned into one hell of an NFL quarterback, running the Holmgren/Zorn offense all along.
More insight on the Zorn/Campbell relationship
This season, Zorn, essentially, will provide Campbell with all of the information for plays. Pass protection 'rules' for a variety of blitzes will eliminate the need for Campbell to make many protection adjustments.
-----------------------------------------------First Half------------------ Second Half
Completion %-------------------------------66.1 ---------------------------59
Yards/Completion -------------------------11.5---------------------------- 9.1
TDs ----------------------------------------------8------------------------------- 5
Interceptions ----------------------------------0(!)---------------------------- 6
Sacks -----------------------------------------16------------------------------- 22
Passer Rating ------------------------------99.6(!)------------------------- 72.3
(Gratuitous parenthetical punctuation added)
Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Position Overview: Quarterbacks
Jay Cutler is a better quarterback than Jason Campbell. I’m not disputing that. But I can say with confidence that Campbell has improved every year and is fully capable of exploiting the successes of his line and receivers. If the line holds up, we find a receiver to replace Randle-El on the outside, and Zorn stays one step ahead of his opponents as a play-caller and game planner, Jason Campbell will absolutely not hold us back or cost us wins. It is far from guaranteed that he can take the next step and become a QB who can singlehandedly overcome the failures of others and make the offense greater than the sum of its parts. Personally, I give him about a 50-50 chance on that. Regardless, if the offense fails it’s probably not going to be Campbell’s fault. Also, the constant changing of offensive systems is no idle excuse. Everything we’ve heard out of the minicamps is about how the coaches are just now getting up to speed on what Zorn wants to do. So with that in mind, I’m inclined to withhold judgment on Campbell until we see how this season goes. But I am cautiously optimistic. And frankly, if we’re not going to be satisfied with a quarterback until we find a Peyton Manning or a John Elway, we’re going to have to sit through a lot of lost seasons.
You’ll notice Jim Zorn’s name came up repeatedly in the last paragraph. It’s rare to see a head coach this closely tied to his QB. He is also the quarterbacks coach and personally instructs Campbell on every detail of technique and in-game decision-making. Not to mention that he handles the play-calling personally and is in Campbell’s ear every play. Zorn and Campbell are going to succeed and fail together, and it will be difficult for us to parse the blame or credit. Given that this is Campbell’s contract year (assuming a CBA is reached and we don’t go capless) and that Dan Snyder is very unlikely to give Zorn a chance to develop another quarterback, they are both fighting for their jobs (and possibly their careers). Next year they will both be back or both be gone.
The only real quarterback competition in camp will be Colt Brennan against Todd Collins. Zorn has made it pretty obvious that he wants Colt to win the job, and I take most things from Zorn pretty seriously because unlike most coaches he tends to mean what he says. I’m rooting for Colt here, mostly because I have no faith in Todd Collins outside of the Al Saunders offense. Colt did make some pretty, pretty, throws in the preseason last year, and on paper he seems like a good fit for the system. But there were also a number of throws floated into traffic that would have been intercepted if the defense had their starters in. If we have to put Colt into a game, I’m picturing a few beautiful plays cancelled out by at least two picks returned for touchdowns. As for his relationship with Campbell – there is no way Colt Brennan should see the field until the playoffs are totally out of the question, to see if he’s a reasonable option to be our quarterback for 2010. Of course the value of developing him in-season would be limited, since Zorn and his system will almost certainly be gone if this scenario plays out.
My understanding is that Chase Daniel’s fate is entirely tied to the results of the Collins-Brennan contest. If Colt wins the 2nd spot, Collins is a goner and Daniels gets to hang on as number 3. If Collins wins, Colt goes down to 3 and Daniel is either on the practice squad or out the door. So basically, Chase Daniels should be the biggest Colt Brennan fan in town right now.
Friday, July 24, 2009
Position Overview: Tight Ends
Fred Davis, to date, appears to be the exact opposite – an impressive athlete who can’t figure out how to exploit his physical skills at the professional level. I’m withholding judgment for now because plenty of rookies find the NFL to be mystifying, but Zorn was clearly unimpressed last year. If he does develop, we could really have some fun. With both Cooley and Davis in pass patterns, it couldn’t be all that hard to get one or the other of them matched up on a linebacker. Also, while a two tight end formation would normally tip off a run play, with Cooley and Davis defenses may be forced into a nickel package – and then we can run at them with extra blockers. Nonetheless, while it would be nice to have another weapon for Campbell, the development of a second pass-catching tight end would be a luxury rather than a necessity - as opposed to the urgent need for a wide receiver to play split end.
If Davis does pan out, then it’s probably time to say goodbye to Todd Yoder. Yoder has been admirably boring during his tenure here – he does everything you ask of a backup tight end, nothing more, nothing less. He’s a decent blocker. He’s not going to create separation on his own, but if the defense leaves him open and you can get him the ball, he probably won’t drop it. He was occasionally lined up in the slot last year, which I can only assume was done for humorous effect. Unless Davis looks utterly clueless again, I just don’t see room for a third tight end on this roster (I’m going to guess at the final 53 man roster sometime next week). I’ll miss him as much as you will.
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Free Agents
Position Overview: Wide Receivers
To hear the Redskins DBs tell it, nobody could cover Malcolm Kelly during his rare appearances in practice. Unfortunately, he has yet to show an ability to practice three days in a row without his knee swelling up on him. Thomas managed to get stay upright a bit more, but was so flummoxed by the playbook that he was never trusted to be a significant part of the gameplan. It’s pretty routine for rookie receivers to fail to make an impact in the NFL, but these guys underachieved even by the modest expectations that were laid on them.
Saturday, July 18, 2009
Mike Williams Weight Watch
For those unfamiliar with his background, Williams was the fourth overall pick in the 2002 draft. After four seasons, the Bills cut him after constant injury and ineffectiveness. He has been out of football for the last two years, during which time his weight ballooned all the way up to the aforemention 450. I'm kind of rooting for him, but realistically we have to expect nothing and consider anything he contributes to be a bonus.
Friday, July 17, 2009
Hogs Haven's Best and Worst of '08
Worst: Geisinger vs. Suggs
In week 14, while facing the formidable Raven's defense, Jon Jansen goes down and Stephon Heyer is forced into the lineup at RT. Later, Chris Samuels, who has been struggling to keep Terrell Suggs under control, goes down for the year with his triceps injury. Apparently not wanting to shift Heyer in the middle of a possession, Justin Geisinger, the backup center with hardly any NFL playing experience, finds himself lined up at left tackle against Terrell freakin Suggs. Even Suggs was appalled - on video you can see him yelling to our sideline asking if we're trying to get our quarterback killed. One play later, Geisinger is mystifyingly not given even a tight end chip for help, and we face the inevitable result: Suggs buries Campbell in the turf, mercifully ending the drive.
Best: Portis ices second straight division win
With a 23-17 lead late in the 4th quarter in Philadelphia (week 5), the Redskins face a 4th and 1 at the Eagles' 38 yard line. If we fail to convert, the Eagles have over two minutes to score - and a touchdown and extra point would win it for them. The Redskins run a draw. The Eagles achieve penetration and Portis is hit well in the backfield, but lowers his helmet, churns his legs, and just puuuuushes across the line for the first down. Campbell kneels three times; game over.
Anything else that should be added to either the Best or Worst lists?
Position Overview: Running Backs
Thursday, July 16, 2009
Redskins add a rookie DE
For the record, Jarmon was available because he tested positive for a banned substance (supposedly the old not-checking-the-ingredients-on-the-dietary-supplement snafu) and was stripped of his fourth year of college eligibility.
It's hard not to like the move. Obviously, DE is a spot where we are really in need of both youth and depth, and the price was modest (one way to look at it is that we have a one-year head start on developing one of next year's draft picks).
Because he wasn't a draft prospect there's very little analysis of his skills available, but here's Rotoworld's take:
"The Skins are less concerned than any team with losing future picks, but at least they're getting a pretty good prospect. Jarmon doesn't project as a future double-digit sack guy, but the 20-year-old is built to stop the run and will probably add 10-20 pounds to his frame as he develops. He'll make it harder for declining vets Renaldo Wynn and Phillip Daniels to make the team."
Pro Football Weekly has this quote:
“As a player, we liked his production,” said Scott Campbell, the Redskins' director of player personnel. “He’s good against the run and can rush the passer. He’s young, only 21 years old, with a lot of playing experience. After meeting him and spending time with him, it is easy to see he is a quality person with good upside and all the qualities we look for. Everyone at the school spoke very highly of him — from the coaches to the training staff to the strength staff, they all had positive things to say.”
Finally, here's Cerrato:
"He's already graduated, which is good and I think this: I think he's smart, he's tough, he's willing to listen and he's willing to work. That was [defensive line coach John] Palermo's comments after he worked him out ... Those are four things you really like to hear. ...
"You see it on film, when you get tired you still chase. I think he has that in him and he'll get more I think from being around our guys and seeing what pro ball is about."
Speaking of film, YouTube again comes to the rescue. This clip shows some pretty impressive ability, both in beating the blocker and chasing down the QB outside of the pocket.
It's important to keep perspective, of course. Ends don't often make a big impact their rookie years. Much like wide receivers, the top players often had such athletic superiority over their college opponents that it was never necessary to really master technique. Once they reach the pros, these guys take awhile to pick up the nuances of their position to the point that they can compete with equally elite athletes. Realistically, he will probably not have much impact this season other than depth. We'll likely have to wait til next season to see if he develops into a significant pass rush threat.
One other effect of this move, as the Rotoworld quoted noted, is that the defensive end competition, in which Carter and Orakpo are the only real sure things, just got alot more crowded. Jarmon's arrival could mean the one less spot for a veteran - more on that in the defensive line position overview.
UPDATE: Thanks to Rich Tandler's Real Redskins, found a link to a Sporting News scouting report on Jarmon.
ANOTHER UPDATE: Redskins Insider (Washington Post) has a good assessment of the Jarmon pick.
Monday, July 13, 2009
Suisham blames fat punter's fat fingers for missed field goals.
Cooley's submission was frankly underwhelming, but in his attempt at humor in which he tried to describe the futility of having conversations with a kicker, he did throw out something that caught my attention:
"A couple of weeks ago, I squatted over my helmet next to Shaun Suisham on the practice sideline of Redskins Park...Conversations with a kicker are typically nonsense-filled ideas ranging from Barack Obama staring down girls' backsides to Michael Jackson's death dragging his estate out of debt. Every so often, we even talk about football, but with a kicker it's usually something about how a holder's chubby, jittery hands can mess up an entire season or why adding two games to the regular season would be so much harder on a kicking leg... "
After going on awhile about installing sensors in footballs so that it could be precisely measured when the ball cross the goaline - or stay within the goalposts - he comes back to the fat punter:
"Yes, this great new method also applies to kickers and Suisham's short goal-post theory, though it can't make ex-punters any skinnier."
There's no way that the overweight ex-punter can be anyone but the notoriously rotund Ryan Plackemeier - Durant Brooks' replacement last year. That's Plackemeier in the photo. He is a large young man.
This, apparently, is Suisham's attempt to write off his 72% field goal success rate last year. For the sake of our kicking game, I hope Hunter Smith has lithe, nimble fingers that will be more to Suisham's liking.
Runyan?
As a 35 year old lineman coming off surgery, I can't imagine he's demanding a lot of money or a multi-year contract. Obviously due diligence on the knee will be important, but if this guy's functional come training camp, he simply needs to be on our roster. How nice would it be to not have to run behind Chris Samuels every damn time until he breaks down?
UPDATE: Also, I just learned he has a pet pig. Now we really have to sign the guy.
Saturday, July 11, 2009
Position Overview: Offensive Line
The O-line is, correctly, the chief focus of concern for most Redskins fans. However, before simply dismissing it as a shambles, let's take stock of what we have, both good and bad.